A master at fostering understanding.
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Timothy Camber Warren is an Associate Professor in the Department of Defense Analysis at the Naval Postgraduate School, a position he has held since 2012. His expertise includes qualitative methods, international security, conflict processes, ethnic politics, statistical methods, and computational modeling. Warren received his Ph.D. in Political Science from Duke University in 2008, with subfield concentrations in International Relations and Methodology. His dissertation, titled “Communicative Structure and the Emergence of Armed Conflict,” was supervised by a committee including Chris Gelpi, Robert Keohane, Scott de Marchi, and Steven Wilkinson. He earned his B.A. in Political Science from the University of Rochester in 2002, graduating magna cum laude with honors. Prior to his current role, Warren served as a Postdoctoral Research Fellow at the Center for Comparative and International Studies at ETH Zurich from 2009 to 2012 and as a Postdoctoral Research Associate at the Niehaus Center for Globalization and Governance at Princeton University from 2008 to 2009. He participated in advanced training programs, including the ICPSR Summer Program in Quantitative Methods on Social Network Analysis at the University of Michigan in 2004 and the Summer Institute on the Empirical Implications of Theoretical Models at Duke University in 2004.
Warren's research interests span international relations, methodology, armed conflict, social networks, collective violence, state sovereignty, alliances, mass media, social media, intra-ethnic conflict, treaty compliance, network analysis, and computational modeling of social systems. He has published in premier journals, including “Modeling the Coevolution of International and Domestic Institutions: Alliances, Democracy, and the Complex Path to Peace” in the Journal of Peace Research 53(3): 424-441 (2016); “Explosive Connections? Mass Media, Social Media, and the Geography of Collective Violence in African States” in the Journal of Peace Research 52(3): 297-311 (2015); “Explaining Violent Intra-Ethnic Conflict: Group Fragmentation in the Shadow of State Power” (with Kevin Troy) in the Journal of Conflict Resolution 59(3): 484-509 (2015); “Not by the Sword Alone: Soft Power, Mass Media, and the Production of State Sovereignty” in International Organization 68(1): 111-141 (2014); “Testing Clausewitz: Nationalism, Mass Mobilization, and the Severity of War” (with Lars-Erik Cederman and Didier Sornette) in International Organization 65(4): 605-638 (2011); and “The Geometry of Security: Modeling Interstate Alliances as Evolving Networks” in the Journal of Peace Research 47(6): 697-709 (2010). He is developing a book manuscript entitled Conflict and Peace in the Age of Information: Communication, Technology, and the Logic of Collective Violence. Warren has been principal investigator or co-principal investigator on over $1 million in research grants from Department of Defense sponsors, including “Simulating the Effects of Shocks on Social and Political Networks,” a Minerva Grant from the Army Research Office (2015-2018); “Social Media Analytics for Enhanced Indications and Warnings” from Marine Forces Cyber Command (2015-2016); and “Worldwide Discussion Analysis Through Open Source Media” from the Joint Warfare Analysis Center (2017-2018). He has delivered invited presentations at institutions such as Harvard University, Princeton University, Yale University, Oxford University, ETH Zurich, and the RAND Corporation.
